Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Shirley Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25017388200 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 7,092 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 4.9/10 for census tract 25017388200 reflects conditions in Shirley Center Historic District in Shirley, Massachusetts. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,189 a month against an average household income of $121,875 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,404
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$121,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shirley and the region
Centroid at 42.5737, -71.6410 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shirley Center Historic District scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shirley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shirley
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shirley
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shirley
4.0
How Shirley Center Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2014)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shirley Center Historic District
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shirley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017388200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017388200?
Census tract 25017388200 in the Shirley Center Historic District neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017388200?
Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017388200?
2.1% of residents in tract 25017388200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,092.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017388200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 31th, minority 31th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 25017388200 considered part of Shirley Center Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017388200 fall within Shirley Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017388200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017388200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.25% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017388200 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017388200 compare to Shirley overall?
Tract 25017388200 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Shirley at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shirley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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