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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

South Side Eviction Risk: Elevated , Waltham

Tract 25017368500 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,052 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 7.6/10, tract 25017368500 in the South Side area of Waltham, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 50% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,954
Renter share83.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$90,484

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In South Side
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Waltham
High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#100 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#403 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waltham and the region

Centroid at 42.3693, -71.2386 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Side scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waltham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,821 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waltham
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waltham
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waltham
4.9

How South Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Side risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.6This tracttract 3685006.5Walthamparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 134Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 2.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2013)
  • 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017368500

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Side

This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.3 points above the Middlesex County average of 6.3. At $1,821 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Waltham commands.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 134 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 4.1% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017368500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017368500?

Census tract 25017368500 in the South Side neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017368500?

Median gross rent is $1,821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017368500?

12.0% of residents in tract 25017368500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,052.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017368500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 22th, minority 67th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 25017368500 considered part of South Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017368500 fall within South Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017368500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 134 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 25017368500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.66% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017368500 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017368500 compare to Waltham overall?

Tract 25017368500 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Waltham at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waltham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25017368500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waltham

Top eight tracts in Waltham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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