Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,613 of 84,120 nationally
Forbes Wharf Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milton
Tract 25021416400 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 6,201 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
How risky is Forbes Wharf in Milton for landlords? Census tract 25021416400 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 68% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 100% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $200,542 a year. About 1% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units2,069
Renter share1.1%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$200,542
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milton and the region
Centroid at 42.2617, -71.0494 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forbes Wharf scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milton
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milton
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milton
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milton
4.9
How Forbes Wharf compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 47%Grade A
- 7%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 2.3%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forbes Wharf
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25021416400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021416400?
Census tract 25021416400 in the Forbes Wharf neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 25021416400?
3.3% of residents in tract 25021416400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,201.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 25021416400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 20th, minority 17th, housing 28th.
Q4
Is tract 25021416400 considered part of Forbes Wharf?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021416400 fall within Forbes Wharf (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 25021416400 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 25021416400 compare to Milton overall?
Tract 25021416400 scores 5.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Milton at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 25021416400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milton
Top eight tracts in Milton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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