Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,613 of 84,120 nationally
Milton Upper Mills Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25021416200 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 6,991 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
For landlords sizing up Milton Upper Mills in Milton, census tract 25021416200 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,379 a month against an average household income of $132,433 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,309
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$132,433
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milton and the region
Centroid at 42.2545, -71.0959 · click any tract to drill in
Why Milton Upper Mills scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milton
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,379 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milton
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milton
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milton
4.9
How Milton Upper Mills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 14%Grade A
- 57%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 14.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Milton Upper Mills
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk County average of 5.6 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25021416200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021416200?
Census tract 25021416200 in the Milton Upper Mills neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25021416200?
Median gross rent is $1,379/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25021416200?
7.4% of residents in tract 25021416200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,991.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25021416200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 35th, minority 73th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 25021416200 considered part of Milton Upper Mills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021416200 fall within Milton Upper Mills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25021416200 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25021416200 compare to Milton overall?
Tract 25021416200 scores 5.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Milton at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25021416200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milton
Top eight tracts in Milton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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