Brockton Eviction Risk: High

Food insecurity runs 47.4% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 2.8 points above the Plymouth County average of 5.2. Cost burden runs 63% here against 46.6% across Plymouth County.

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,072, 35% below the Brockton average.

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $37,558, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. On the high side, economic stress reads 8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 110 filings here across 1 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 11.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Brockton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.