Heritage Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Grand Rapids

91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, economic stress reads 9/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $46,313, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Kent County at 43.7%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.

It sits 1.2 points above the Kent County average of 4.2. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Grand Rapids. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.