Nolan Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 37.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

SNAP participation runs 65.3% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $738 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Detroit commands.

Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.