Rivertown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Food insecurity runs 44.9% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 30.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $804, 25% below the Detroit average. It sits 1.4 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6.

Cost burden runs 51% here against 46.6% across Wayne County. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.