Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Burl Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Coon Rapids
Tract 27003050711 ·
Anoka County, MN · pop 5,167 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 27003050711 sits in the Burl Oaks area of Coon Rapids eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. It is home to 5,167 residents. Against Anoka County at 43.4%, 23% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 6%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,720
Renter share7.9%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$110,357
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Burl Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
7th percentile
#15 of 16 tracts In Coon Rapids
Very Low
Within county
44th percentile
#51 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Moderate
Within state
46th percentile
#809 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coon Rapids and the region
Centroid at 45.2044, -93.2736 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burl Oaks scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,944 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coon Rapids
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.9
How Burl Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
21%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
48Total filings over 4 yrs
15.69%Avg annual filing rate
14.4%Peak (2010)
9Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2012
Filings dropped 18% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.6%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
10.9%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burl Oaks
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10. At $1,944 a month, rents run 30% over what the rest of Coon Rapids commands. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. The voucher gap is 15.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The filing record is not thin: 48 evictions over 4 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2010 at 14.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 15.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003050711
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050711?
Census tract 27003050711 in the Burl Oaks neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003050711?
Median gross rent is $1,944/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050711?
6.5% of residents in tract 27003050711 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,167.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050711?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 55th, minority 34th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 27003050711 considered part of Burl Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050711 fall within Burl Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050711?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050711 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.69% of renter households, peaking at 14.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27003050711 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27003050711 compare to Coon Rapids overall?
Tract 27003050711 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Coon Rapids at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coon Rapids eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Coon Rapids
Top eight tracts in Coon Rapids ranked by composite eviction-risk score.