Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Northdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Coon Rapids
Tract 27003050808 · Anoka County, MN · pop 2,096 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 27003050808 sits in the Northdale area of Blaine eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units834
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$65,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coon Rapids and the region
Centroid at 45.1635, -93.2598 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northdale scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,229 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coon Rapids
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coon Rapids
4.7
How Northdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 49Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.4%Peak (2012)
- 21Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 163% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.2%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northdale
Cost burden runs 56% here against 43.4% across Anoka County. Average gross rent is $1,229, 28% below the Blaine average.
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.3/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 49 evictions over 4 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points above the Anoka County average of 4.2. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 14.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003050808
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050808?
Census tract 27003050808 in the Northdale neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003050808?
Median gross rent is $1,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050808?
9.3% of residents in tract 27003050808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,096.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050808?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 60th, minority 22th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 27003050808 considered part of Northdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050808 fall within Northdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050808?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.98% of renter households, peaking at 14.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27003050808 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27003050808 compare to Coon Rapids overall?
Tract 27003050808 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Coon Rapids at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coon Rapids eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Coon Rapids
Top eight tracts in Coon Rapids ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Parkside
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27003050828
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27003050826
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27003050807
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Crescent Ponds
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Parkside
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Crescent Ponds
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27003050822
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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