Neighborhood · Coon Rapids, MN

Northdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 10,467 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.1–5

Northdale is a 3-tract neighborhood of Coon Rapids, MN and houses 10,467 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.8/10.

around a third of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. 11% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Court records carry 158 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 14.4% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,620, 8% above the Coon Rapids average of $1,494. Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Coon Rapids, it ranks #8 by risk, the lower third.

Judgments average 3.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Pheasant Ridge and Pleasure Creek.

Its 3 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $90,144.

With little internal variation, 4.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Northdale vs Coon Rapids How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

33.0% +1%

Coon Rapids: 32.7%

Average gross rent

$1,620 +8%

Coon Rapids: $1,494

Average HH income

$90,144 +4%

Coon Rapids: $86,618

Poverty rate

7.2% -10%

Coon Rapids: 8.0%

Renter share

17.0% -32%

Coon Rapids: 25.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.1–5

Why Northdale scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Rent control risk

33% of income on rent · Range 5.6–7.3 across tracts

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.3–4.6 across tracts

4.4

Tenant organizing strength

17% renter households · Range 3.7–5.8 across tracts

5.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.7–5.9 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.3–2.3 across tracts

1.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–5.5 across tracts

4.6

Risk score comparison

Northdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Northdale?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.9 points from 4.1 to 5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.0 4.4 4.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Northdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27003050808	5	2,096	56%	$1,229
27003050704	4.4	4,835	17%	$1,683
27003050702	4.1	3,536	41%	$1,767

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 54%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 21%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northdale

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

158Total filings (sum)
7.67%Avg annual filing rate
14.4%Peak year (2012)
9.55%Latest filed (2012)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.8%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
8.0%No health insurance
29.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Northdale

What is the eviction-risk score for Northdale?

Northdale scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Northdale compare to Coon Rapids overall?

Northdale scores 0.2 points higher than Coon Rapids overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,620 vs $1,494.

What is the average rent in Northdale?

Average gross rent in Northdale is $1,620/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Northdale residents are renters?

17% of Northdale households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Coon Rapids). The neighborhood has 10,467 residents.

Is Northdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Northdale sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Northdale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northdale is census tract 27003050808 (score 5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 5, a spread of 0.9 points.

How safe is Northdale for landlords?

Northdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Coon Rapids as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Northdale?

Northdale has 10,292 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.6%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northdale

4.8 Parkside 4 tracts · pop 15,020 4.1 Crescent Ponds 3 tracts · pop 10,962 4.8 Thompson Heights 2 tracts · pop 6,927 3.3 The Lakes 2 tracts · pop 8,579 3.3 Oaks 2 tracts · pop 9,237 5.1 Wedgewood 4 tracts · pop 12,004

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Coon Rapids

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northdale.

4.3 Pheasant Ridge 1 tracts · pop 3,635 4 Pleasure Creek 1 tracts · pop 2,346 4.9 Thompson Heights 2 tracts · pop 6,927 3.9 Burl Oaks 1 tracts · pop 5,167 5.1 Summer Chase 1 tracts · pop 4,986 5.2 Woodcrest 1 tracts · pop 3,327

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