Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Springbrook Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fridley
Tract 27003051002 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,714 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 27003051002 sits in the Springbrook area of Spring Lake Park, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 3,714. The severe-burden share is 52%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,409
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$89,174
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fridley and the region
Centroid at 45.1162, -93.2560 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springbrook scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fridley
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,322 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fridley
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fridley
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fridley
7.9
How Springbrook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 37Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2009)
- 10Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Springbrook. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.1%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springbrook
Cost burden runs 62% here against 43.4% across Anoka County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Anoka County average of 4.2. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.
Court records carry 37 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2009, when 7.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $89,174, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003051002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051002?
Census tract 27003051002 in the Springbrook neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003051002?
Median gross rent is $1,322/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051002?
11.7% of residents in tract 27003051002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,714.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 79th, minority 53th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 27003051002 considered part of Springbrook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003051002 fall within Springbrook (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.75% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27003051002 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27003051002 compare to Fridley overall?
Tract 27003051002 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Fridley at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fridley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fridley
Top eight tracts in Fridley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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