Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
St. Francis Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27003050107 · Anoka County, MN · pop 2,931
Tract 27003050107 sits in St. Francis, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 2,931. 31% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Anoka County average of 43.4%.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,064
Renter share15.8%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$100,588
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Francis and the region
Centroid at 45.3948, -93.4390 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Francis scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Francis
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Francis
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Francis
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Francis
4.2
How St. Francis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 39Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2009)
- 10Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Francis
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3/10. The filing record is not thin: 39 evictions over 4 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 8.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $100,588, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Anoka County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,346, close to the St. Francis average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003050107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050107?
Census tract 27003050107 in St. Francis scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003050107?
Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050107?
11.3% of residents in tract 27003050107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 15th, minority 6th, housing 45th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050107?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050107 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.47% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27003050107 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27003050107 compare to St. Francis overall?
Tract 27003050107 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Francis at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Francis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Francis
Top eight tracts in St. Francis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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