Carver County, Minnesota Eviction Risk: Moderate
13 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Chaska (5.5) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Carver County's average eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 falls within a narrow band of 5.0 to 5.6 across its 13 cities, with Crown College anchoring the high end at 5.6/10. Ranked 19th of 87 Minnesota counties by eviction-risk score.
How Carver County ranks in Minnesota
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Chaska | 28,706 | 5.3 | 26.5% | $1,553 | IND |
| 002 | Chanhassen | 26,006 | 5.3 | 28.6% | $1,831 | IND |
| 003 | Waconia | 13,434 | 5.2 | 28.1% | $1,330 | IND |
| 004 | Victoria | 11,295 | 5.0 | 21.2% | $2,235 | IND |
| 005 | Carver | 6,239 | 5.0 | 51.0% | $1,379 | IND |
| 006 | Watertown | 4,790 | 5.2 | 20.6% | $927 | IND |
| 007 | Norwood Young America | 3,849 | 5.2 | 36.7% | $1,073 | IND |
| 008 | Mayer | 2,518 | 5.0 | 51.0% | $1,563 | IND |
| 009 | Cologne | 2,282 | 5.0 | 34.9% | $585 | IND |
| 010 | New Germany | 595 | 5.1 | 23.9% | $1,107 | IND |
| 011 | Hamburg | 547 | 5.3 | 24.2% | $955 | IND |
| 012 | Green Isle | 466 | 4.9 | 13.4% | $1,725 | IND |
| 013 | Crown College | 422 | 5.5 | 29.1% | $1,704 | IND |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Carver County
Top 3 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Carver County scores 5.2/10 (Moderate) across its 13 cities, placing it 17th of 87 counties in Minnesota eviction laws, meaning 16 counties carry higher eviction risk and 70 are more landlord-friendly. That positions Carver County solidly in the higher-risk third of the state, not an outlier, but not a low-friction market either. With an average rent of $1,586 and an average rent burden of 29%, tenants here are not severely cost-stressed by statewide standards, which moderates default risk, but the county's suburban growth dynamics still require landlords to stay procedurally sharp.
The intra-county range runs from 4.9 to 5.5, a half-point spread that is meaningful at the margin. Cities at the lower end of that range offer noticeably smoother operating conditions than those at the top. Compared to peer suburban counties, Carver County (5.2) lands in roughly the same tier as Wright County (5.31), Olmsted County (5.3), and Chisago County (5.24), suggesting the moderate-risk profile is characteristic of the Twin Cities exurban ring rather than any feature unique to this county.
The cities inside Carver County
The highest score in the county belongs to Crown College at 5.5/10, the lone city at the ceiling of the local range. Below that, Chaska (population 28,706) and Chanhassen (population 26,006) both score 5.3/10, making them the two largest cities in the county and also among the riskiest. Hamburg also sits at 5.3. These four markets require the most careful tenant screening and lease documentation from landlords.
Further down the risk ladder, Waconia, Watertown, and Norwood Young America each score 5.2/10, aligning with the county average. Victoria and the city of Carver both score 5.0, and Mayer also comes in at 5.0, making the southwestern and less-urbanized corners of the county the most landlord-accessible spots. The city-level spread is a reminder that risk is hyper-local: two properties five miles apart can sit in meaningfully different risk environments, so investors should evaluate each city on its own score rather than relying on the county average alone.
State-level laws that apply here
All landlords in Carver County operate under Minnesota state law, specifically Minn. Stat. § 504B (Landlord and Tenant). For nonpayment of rent, Minnesota requires a 14-day notice before filing (Minn. Stat. § 504B.291). Ending a month-to-month tenancy or pursuing a material lease violation each require a 30-day notice (Minn. Stat. § 504B.135). An uncontested eviction typically resolves in 30 to 60 days; a contested case can stretch to 60 to 150 days. Court filing fees run $310 to $410, sheriff lockout fees add $55 to $150, and attorney fees commonly range from $750 to $3,000 depending on case complexity. Understanding the full Minnesota eviction costs before a dispute arises is essential for accurate underwriting.
Minnesota does not require just cause for most non-renewal decisions, and there is no statewide rent cap formula in effect. However, source of income is a protected class under the Minnesota Department of Human Rights, which affects how landlords may evaluate Section 8 applicants. Landlords must also provide 24 hours entry notice under Minn. Stat. § 504B. Reviewing the Minnesota eviction process and the state's Minnesota tenant protections in full before operating here will surface additional compliance checkpoints that affect day-to-day management.
Carver County's poverty rate of 4.1% is low by Minnesota standards, and only 19.8% of residents are renters, meaning the rental pool is relatively small and concentrated; the city-level scores in the grid above identify exactly where within that pool landlord conditions are most and least favorable.
Eviction filings in Carver County
The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Minnesota statewide (no county-level tracker available). In the past month, 2,011 filings were recorded, 1.03× the historical baseline (near baseline). YTD filings: 8,496; pandemic-era total: 113,788.
- 2,011Past month
- 26,070Past 12 months
- 1.07×vs baseline (12 mo)
- 11.5%Serial filings
- $1,264Average rent
How Carver County compares
Among its closest peer counties, Carver County's 5.2/10 Moderate score places it in the middle of the range. Wright County scores 5.41/10 and Olmsted County 5.39/10, both modestly higher risk, while Crow Wing County (5.17/10), Stearns County (5.03/10), and Sherburne County (4.98/10) all come in below Carver.
Within Minnesota's 87 counties, Carver ranks 19th, meaning the large majority of the state's counties carry equal or greater eviction-related risk for landlords.
Peer counties in Minnesota
Where eviction risk concentrates in Carver County
Top cities by population
Top neighborhoods by risk
Frequently asked questions about Carver County
How is the Carver County eviction risk score computed?
Each of the 13 cities in the county is independently scored on nine sub-factors. The county-wide 5.2/10 average reflects a population-weighted mean of those municipal scores.
Does Carver County have rent control?
Rent control is determined by state law and city ordinance. Minnesota state framework applies. See the Minnesota eviction laws rent-control guide for details.
What is the political climate in Carver County?
Carver County voted Republican by 4.9 points in 2020.