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Neighborhood · Chaska, MN

Chevalle Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,900 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.4

Chevalle spans 2 census tracts of Chaska, MN, population 8,900. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.1/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $2,594, 67% above the Chaska average of $1,553.

The voucher gap is 54.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

Running hot is supply constraint at 9/10. Against a Chaska baseline of 26.5%, 17% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. SNAP participation is 3.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.9/10. 3.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

At 9% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Harvest West and Camden Ridge Twins.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.4 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Chevalle vs Chaska How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
16.7% -37%
Chaska: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,594 +67%
Chaska: $1,553
Average HH income
$178,098 +62%
Chaska: $110,000
Poverty rate
2.6% -47%
Chaska: 4.9%
Renter share
9.3% -71%
Chaska: 32.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chevalle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.4

Why Chevalle scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Rent control risk
17% of income on rent · Range 2.9–4.8 across tracts
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.7–4.6 across tracts
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
9% renter households · Range 2.5–6.6 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–3.9 across tracts
2.9
Economic stress
2.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.6–10.0 across tracts
9.0
Risk score comparison

Chevalle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chevalle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1ChevalleNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Chevalle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27019090802 3.4 2,235 18% $3,501
27019090402 3 6,665 16% $2,290
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 5

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 26%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chevalle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chevalle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chevalle?

Chevalle scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chevalle compare to Chaska overall?

Chevalle scores 0.9 points lower than Chaska overall (4/10). Renters spend 17% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,594 vs $1,553.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chevalle?

Average gross rent in Chevalle is $2,594/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chevalle residents are renters?

9% of Chevalle households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Chaska). The neighborhood has 8,900 residents.
Q5

Is Chevalle a high social-vulnerability area?

Chevalle sits in the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Chevalle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Chevalle is census tract 27019090802 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Chevalle for landlords?

Chevalle carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chaska as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Chevalle?

Chevalle has 9,249 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83.9%), Other / Multiracial (5.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chevalle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chaska

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chevalle.

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