Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Cari Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hastings
Tract 27037061105 · Dakota County, MN · pop 2,385 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 27037061105 covers part of the Cari Park area of Hastings, MN, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,385 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units915
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$91,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hastings and the region
Centroid at 44.7307, -92.8599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cari Park scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hastings
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,167 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hastings
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hastings
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hastings
3.7
How Cari Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 62Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2009)
- 13Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cari Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cari Park
34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Dakota County average of 45.6%. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 62 filings here across 5 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $91,607, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037061105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037061105?
Census tract 27037061105 in the Cari Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037061105?
Median gross rent is $1,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037061105?
2.2% of residents in tract 27037061105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,385.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037061105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 5th, minority 26th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 27037061105 considered part of Cari Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037061105 fall within Cari Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037061105?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 62 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037061105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.39% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037061105 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037061105 compare to Hastings overall?
Tract 27037061105 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Hastings at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hastings eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hastings
Top eight tracts in Hastings ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related