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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

West Side Eviction Risk: Lower , West St. Paul

Tract 27037060101 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,600 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Here is how census tract 27037060101, in the West Side neighborhood of West St. Paul, looks to a landlord: a 5.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,600. On the national scale it ranks #42,589 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,168 monthly, set against $75,893 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share25.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$75,893

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In West Side
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In West St. Paul
Moderate
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very High
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#606 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across West St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9151, -93.0768 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Side scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from West St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,168 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West St. Paul
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.5

How West Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Side risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 060101West St. Paul: 5.15.1West St. Paulparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 113Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak (2009)
  • 24Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370601012009: 32 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 17 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (6.93/100 renter HHs)2013: 24 filings (6.65/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Side

The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 113 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.0% of renter households in 2009.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060101?

Census tract 27037060101 in the West Side neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060101?

Median gross rent is $1,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060101?

5.6% of residents in tract 27037060101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,600.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 38th, minority 55th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 27037060101 considered part of West Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060101 fall within West Side (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 113 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.32% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27037060101 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27037060101 compare to West St. Paul overall?

Tract 27037060101 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of West St. Paul at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 27037060101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in West St. Paul

Top eight tracts in West St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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