Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
West Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , West St. Paul
Tract 27037060101 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,600 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 27037060101 sits in the West Side area of West St. Paul, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 3,600. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share25.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$75,893
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across West St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9151, -93.0768 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Side scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,168 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West St. Paul
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.5
How West Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 31%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 113Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2009)
- 24Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Side
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 45.6% across Dakota County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 113 filings here across 5 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2009 at 10.0% of renter households.
At $1,168 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of West St. Paul commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060101?
Census tract 27037060101 in the West Side neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060101?
Median gross rent is $1,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060101?
5.6% of residents in tract 27037060101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,600.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 38th, minority 55th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060101 considered part of West Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060101 fall within West Side (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 113 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.32% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037060101 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037060101 compare to West St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060101 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of West St. Paul at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27037060101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West St. Paul
Top eight tracts in West St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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