Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
West Side Eviction Risk: Lower , West St. Paul
Tract 27037060102 · Dakota County, MN · pop 2,926 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 27037060102 (West Side in West St. Paul, Minnesota) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 49th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,122 a month against an average household income of $96,413 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,190
Renter share24.6%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$96,413
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across West St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9168, -93.0965 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Side scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,122 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West St. Paul
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.5
How West Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 66%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2009)
- 10Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Side
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060102?
Census tract 27037060102 in the West Side neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060102?
Median gross rent is $1,122/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060102?
8.6% of residents in tract 27037060102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,926.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 30th, minority 42th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060102 considered part of West Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060102 fall within West Side (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.50% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037060102 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037060102 compare to West St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060102 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of West St. Paul at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27037060102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West St. Paul
Top eight tracts in West St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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