Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
West St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27037060104 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,703
27037060104 is a census tract in West St. Paul, MN. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,703 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,852
Renter share46.0%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$63,827
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across West St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.8963, -93.0899 · click any tract to drill in
Why West St. Paul scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,216 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West St. Paul
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from West St. Paul
4.5
How West St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 243Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2012)
- 57Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 21% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West St. Paul
Cost burden runs 58% here against 45.6% across Dakota County. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Dakota County average of 4.2.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 243 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 5.0% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060104?
Census tract 27037060104 in West St. Paul scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060104?
Median gross rent is $1,216/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060104?
10.1% of residents in tract 27037060104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,703.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 68th, minority 49th, housing 71th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060104?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 243 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.88% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060104 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060104 compare to West St. Paul overall?
Tract 27037060104 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of West St. Paul at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 27037060104 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West St. Paul
Top eight tracts in West St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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