Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Centennial Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Edina
Tract 27053024004 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,336 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 27053024004 runs through the Centennial Lakes neighborhood of Edina. With 4,336 residents, it scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,433 a month against an average household income of $61,061 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%Stable renters 24%Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,696
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$61,061
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Centennial Lakes
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 14 tracts In Edina
Very High
Within county
46th percentile
#177 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Moderate
Within state
46th percentile
#811 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Edina and the region
Centroid at 44.8702, -93.3256 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centennial Lakes scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Edina
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,433 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Edina
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Edina
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Edina
4.7
How Centennial Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
38%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
41Total filings over 5 yrs
0.63%Avg annual filing rate
0.8%Peak (2011)
5Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings dropped 44% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
84Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.75×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.4%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
8.2%Food insecurity
5.3%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
11.0%Frequent mental distress
32.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Centennial Lakes
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Edina eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.75x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053024004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053024004?
Census tract 27053024004 in the Centennial Lakes neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053024004?
Median gross rent is $1,433/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053024004?
10.9% of residents in tract 27053024004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,336.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053024004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 85th, minority 32th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 27053024004 considered part of Centennial Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053024004 fall within Centennial Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053024004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053024004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.63% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053024004 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053024004 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053024004 compare to Edina overall?
Tract 27053024004 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Edina at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Edina eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Edina
Top eight tracts in Edina ranked by composite eviction-risk score.