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Neighborhood · Edina, MN

Centennial Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,336 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Centennial Lakes is a one-tract neighborhood of Edina, MN and houses 4,336 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Edina baseline of 29.7%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,433 a month, rents sit 22% under what the rest of Edina commands. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2.7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 41 evictions logged in this tract. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 8.2% of adults, 9.6 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 0.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 0.4% in 2013, is well off that peak. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Edina, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $61,061.

51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Centennial Lakes vs Edina How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.6% +77%
Edina: 29.7%
Average gross rent
$1,433 -22%
Edina: $1,844
Average HH income
$61,061 -53%
Edina: $129,225
Poverty rate
10.9% +149%
Edina: 4.4%
Renter share
50.8% +84%
Edina: 27.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Centennial Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Centennial Lakes scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
10.9% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Centennial Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Centennial Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4Centennial LakesNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Centennial Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053024004 5.4 4,336 53% $1,433
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 67

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Centennial Lakes

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings (sum)
  • 0.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.8%Peak year (2011)
  • 0.37%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 84Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly observed
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.75×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Centennial Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Centennial Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Centennial Lakes?

Centennial Lakes scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Centennial Lakes compare to Edina overall?

Centennial Lakes scores 1.1 points higher than Edina overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,433 vs $1,844.
Q3

What is the average rent in Centennial Lakes?

Average gross rent in Centennial Lakes is $1,433/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Centennial Lakes residents are renters?

51% of Centennial Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Edina). The neighborhood has 4,336 residents.
Q5

Is Centennial Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Centennial Lakes sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Centennial Lakes for landlords?

Centennial Lakes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Edina as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Centennial Lakes?

Centennial Lakes has 3,816 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7%), Other / Multiracial (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Centennial Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Edina

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Centennial Lakes.

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