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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Waterstone Eviction Risk: Lower , Maple Grove

Tract 27053026719 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 6,401 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

27053026719 is a census tract in the Waterstone area of Maple Grove, MN. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units2,011
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$179,758

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Waterstone
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 16 tracts In Maple Grove
Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#294 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,230 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Maple Grove and the region

Centroid at 45.0973, -93.5113 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterstone scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Maple Grove
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,130 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maple Grove
3.7

How Waterstone compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterstone risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0267194.0Maple Groveparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 11Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterstone

It sits 2.1 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1. The voucher gap is 26.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $2,130, 14% above the Maple Grove average. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Against average income of $179,758, annual rent is just 14%.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053026719

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026719?

Census tract 27053026719 in the Waterstone neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053026719?

Median gross rent is $2,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026719?

4.5% of residents in tract 27053026719 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026719?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 21th, minority 30th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 27053026719 considered part of Waterstone?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026719 fall within Waterstone (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27053026719 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27053026719 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27053026719 compare to Maple Grove overall?

Tract 27053026719 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Maple Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maple Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Maple Grove

Top eight tracts in Maple Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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