Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
New Hope Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27053021504 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,681 · 98% of tract blocks fall in New Hope
Census tract 27053021504 belongs to New Hope, Minnesota. It is home to 3,681 residents and scores 5.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 68% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,270 monthly, set against $72,306 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 14%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,545
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$72,306
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25th percentile
#4 of 5 tracts In New Hope
Low
Within county
61th percentile
#129 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Elevated
Within state
64th percentile
#545 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
53th percentile
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Hope and the region
Centroid at 45.0278, -93.3849 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Hope scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Hope
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,270 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Hope
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Hope
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Hope
6.7
How New Hope compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
40%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
108Total filings over 5 yrs
4.99%Avg annual filing rate
6.5%Peak (2013)
30Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
67Total filings 2020-21
0.9Avg monthly (observed)
1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.9%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
7.1%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Hope
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Hope eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021504?
Census tract 27053021504 in New Hope scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021504?
Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021504?
6.8% of residents in tract 27053021504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,681.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 73th, minority 41th, housing 18th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 108 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.99% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021504 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053021504 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053021504 compare to New Hope overall?
Tract 27053021504 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of New Hope at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Hope eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Hope
Top eight tracts in New Hope ranked by composite eviction-risk score.