Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
New Hope Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 27053021503 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,189
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 27053021503 in New Hope, MN reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,189. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,953
Renter share54.5%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$64,355
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
National
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Hope and the region
Centroid at 45.0420, -93.3854 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Hope scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Hope
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,184 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Hope
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Hope
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Hope
6.7
How New Hope compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 149Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2009)
- 35Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 228Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Hope
It sits 2.2 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Cost burden runs 50% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
The filing record is not thin: 149 evictions over 5 years of observation. At $1,184 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of New Hope commands. The worst year on record was 2009, when 4.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $64,355.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021503?
Census tract 27053021503 in New Hope scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021503?
Median gross rent is $1,184/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021503?
14.9% of residents in tract 27053021503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,189.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 49th, minority 40th, housing 73th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 149 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.18% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021503 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053021503 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053021503 compare to New Hope overall?
Tract 27053021503 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of New Hope at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Hope eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Hope
Top eight tracts in New Hope ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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