Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Ventura Village Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053106000 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,974 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
27053106000 is a census tract in the Ventura Village area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,974 residents. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,148
Renter share89.1%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate32.0%
Median income$31,346
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9625, -93.2537 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ventura Village scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
32.0% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$814 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Ventura Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 52%Grade C
- 48%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 224Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2009)
- 33Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 141Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ventura Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.0%Housing insecurity
- 22.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.6%Food insecurity
- 42.6%SNAP enrollment
- 24.9%Transit barriers
- 23.0%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 45.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ventura Village
Average gross rent is $814, 41% below the Minneapolis average. This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Housing insecurity runs 33.0% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.0% against 11.3% nationally.
Court records carry 224 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 4.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053106000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053106000?
Census tract 27053106000 in the Ventura Village neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053106000?
Median gross rent is $814/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053106000?
32.0% of residents in tract 27053106000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,974.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053106000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 99th, minority 87th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 27053106000 considered part of Ventura Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053106000 fall within Ventura Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053106000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 224 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053106000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.13% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053106000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053106000 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053106000 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053106000 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053106000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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