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Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Little Canada Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27123042101 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,033

Little Canada is where census tract 27123042101 sits, home to 5,033 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,290 a month while the average household earns $54,057 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 14% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,666
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$54,057

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Little Canada
Very High
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#71 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Moderate
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#432 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Canada and the region

Centroid at 45.0281, -93.0963 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Canada scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Canada
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,290 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Canada
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Canada
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Canada
6.4

How Little Canada compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Canada risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 042101Little Canada: 5.35.3Little Canadaparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 199Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2011)
  • 13Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271230421012009: 32 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 38 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2011: 48 filings (3.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 26 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 30 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 12 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2015: 13 filings (1.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 312Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.86×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.49× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.84× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (3.62× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-04-01: 7 filings (3.72× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-07-01: 8 filings (3.05× baseline)2022-08-01: 30 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (3.11× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.49× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (1.68× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (2.90× baseline)2023-01-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 14 filings (5.60× baseline)2023-03-01: 9 filings (7.20× baseline)2023-04-01: 10 filings (5.32× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 10 filings (3.21× baseline)2023-07-01: 9 filings (3.44× baseline)2023-08-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.49× baseline)2023-11-01: 8 filings (3.36× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-05-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (1.28× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (1.91× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.49× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 11 filings (7.97× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (1.06× baseline)2025-05-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.32× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2025-10-01: 11 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (1.26× baseline)2025-12-01: 9 filings (6.52× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Canada

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Canada, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 199 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2011.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123042101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042101?

Census tract 27123042101 in Little Canada scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123042101?

Median gross rent is $1,290/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042101?

15.1% of residents in tract 27123042101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,033.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 64th, minority 50th, housing 99th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 199 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.30% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27123042101 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27123042101 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27123042101 compare to Little Canada overall?

Tract 27123042101 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Little Canada at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Canada; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Canada

Top eight tracts in Little Canada ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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