Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Battle Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Maplewood
Tract 27123037402 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,068 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
27123037402 is a census tract in the Battle Creek area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,726
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$67,431
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maplewood and the region
Centroid at 44.9444, -93.0243 · click any tract to drill in
Why Battle Creek scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maplewood
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,604 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maplewood
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maplewood
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maplewood
7.5
How Battle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 251Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2009)
- 44Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 297Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.64×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Battle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.9%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Battle Creek
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
At $1,604 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of St. Paul commands. Court records carry 251 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 5.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123037402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123037402?
Census tract 27123037402 in the Battle Creek neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123037402?
Median gross rent is $1,604/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123037402?
2.0% of residents in tract 27123037402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,068.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123037402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 95th, minority 72th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 27123037402 considered part of Battle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123037402 fall within Battle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123037402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 251 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123037402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.11% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123037402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123037402 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123037402 compare to Maplewood overall?
Tract 27123037402 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Maplewood at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maplewood eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maplewood
Top eight tracts in Maplewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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