Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
South Saint Anthony Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123031900 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,506 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 27123031900 covers part of the South Saint Anthony Park area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,506. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,425
Renter share81.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate24.6%
Median income$61,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9680, -93.1901 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Saint Anthony Park scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
24.6% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How South Saint Anthony Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 65Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2013)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 450Total filings 2020-21
- 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 5.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Saint Anthony Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Saint Anthony Park
Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 65 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 1.5% of renter households.
At $1,391 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of St. Paul commands. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123031900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123031900?
Census tract 27123031900 in the South Saint Anthony Park neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123031900?
Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123031900?
24.6% of residents in tract 27123031900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,506.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123031900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 3th, minority 46th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 27123031900 considered part of South Saint Anthony Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123031900 fall within South Saint Anthony Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123031900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123031900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.13% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123031900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 5.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123031900 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123031900 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123031900 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123031900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Snelling - Hamline
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
North End
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Eastview
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Iris Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highwood Hills
7.9
/ 10 · High
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