Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Northfield Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037061502 · Dakota County, MN · pop 2,767 · 13% of tract blocks fall in Northfield
Census tract 27037061502 covers part of Northfield, MN, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $1,817, 65% above the Northfield average.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,094
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$108,971
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northfield and the region
Centroid at 44.5092, -93.1693 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northfield scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northfield
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,817 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northfield
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northfield
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northfield
3.9
How Northfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2010)
- 3Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northfield
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10. Food insecurity runs 7.0% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 4.7% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 40% here against 45.6% across Dakota County. The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 7.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037061502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037061502?
Census tract 27037061502 in Northfield scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037061502?
Median gross rent is $1,817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037061502?
5.5% of residents in tract 27037061502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,767.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037061502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 28th, minority 11th, housing 66th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037061502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037061502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.32% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037061502 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037061502 compare to Northfield overall?
Tract 27037061502 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Northfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northfield
Top eight tracts in Northfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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