Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Aurora Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27137013800 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 1,775

Census tract 27137013800 sits in Aurora, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 26% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 26% of renter households, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $471 a month while the average household earns $42,406 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 18% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units935

Renter share24.4%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate21.5%

Median income$42,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 47.5316, -92.2410 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aurora scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aurora

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

21.5% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$471 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aurora

3.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aurora

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aurora

5.9

How Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
0%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.0%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
16.6%Food insecurity
14.7%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
39.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aurora

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 5.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 4.9 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137013800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137013800?

Census tract 27137013800 in Aurora scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27137013800?

Median gross rent is $471/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137013800?

21.5% of residents in tract 27137013800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,775.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137013800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 78th, minority 0th, housing 91th.

What share of households in tract 27137013800 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27137013800 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 27137013800 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.