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Aurora, MN Eviction Risk Score St. Louis County · Minnesota · Population 1,792

4.8 Moderate
★★★ High confidence
33.9%Tenant-law probabilityi
$3,773–9,371Typical eviction costi
88 daysTypical timelinei
2.44%Eviction filing ratei
$1,140HUD 2BR FMR 2025i
$509Median gross renti
23.5%Rent burdeni
20.0%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
6.2
Dem margin +15.6% in 2020
Regional political climate
6.2
Dem margin +15.6% in 2020
State political climate
4.3
Economic stress
7.9
21.5% poverty · 6.5% unemployed
Supply constraint
3.3
$509 median rent · 20.0% renters
Rent-control risk
3.7
23.5% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
5.5
20.0% renters
Housing court bias
5.9
Eviction filing rate (ground truth)
3.9
2.44 filings per 100 renter households (county, latest year)
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)
0.0
Market rent -55.4% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($1,140)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

Location & regional heat

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About eviction risk in Aurora, MN

Aurora, MN has an eviction risk score of 4.8 out of 10, placing it in the moderate-risk tier for landlords operating in St. Louis County and the state of Minnesota. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 23.5% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Aurora is $509/month. About 20.0% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 21.5%, unemployment 6.5%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, St. Louis County voted Democratic by 15.6 points — classified as moderately tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 4.8/10, Aurora is a lower-risk environment. Standard screening, documented notices, and prompt action on non-payment typically resolve quickly. Still follow your state's specific notice and service requirements.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your market research with these ACS-data guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each ranking.

Landlord Guides for Minnesota

Eviction Costs — Minnesota →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — Minnesota →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — Minnesota →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — Minnesota →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — Minnesota →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry