Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Duluth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27137000400 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 5,622 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Duluth

How risky is Duluth in St. Louis County for landlords? Census tract 27137000400 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 68th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,654 a month against an average household income of $74,063 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 16% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,980

Renter share35.6%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate20.9%

Median income$74,063

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.8373, -92.1213 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duluth scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Duluth

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

20.9% poverty · this tract

5.2

Supply constraint

$1,654 rent vs county FMR

9.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Duluth

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Duluth

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Duluth

5.0

How Duluth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

27%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
12%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
5%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.7%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
29.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duluth

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Duluth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 4.9 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137000400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137000400?

Census tract 27137000400 in Duluth scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27137000400?

Median gross rent is $1,654/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137000400?

20.9% of residents in tract 27137000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,622.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 13th, minority 12th, housing 66th.

What share of households in tract 27137000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27137000400 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137000400 scores 5.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Duluth at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 27137000400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.