Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Afton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071102 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,759 · 48% of tract blocks fall in Afton
Census tract 27163071102 runs through Afton. With 4,759 residents, it scores 3.9/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #75,424 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
15% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,696 monthly, set against $139,479 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 3% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,829
Renter share2.6%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$139,479
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
National
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Afton and the region
Centroid at 44.8519, -92.8180 · click any tract to drill in
Why Afton scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Afton
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,696 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Afton
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Afton
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Afton
4.1
How Afton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 18Total filings over 3 yrs
- 6.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2010)
- 5Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Afton
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Afton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Washington County average of 5.1 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 18 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.3% of renter households in 2010.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071102?
Census tract 27163071102 in Afton scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071102?
Median gross rent is $1,696/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071102?
4.3% of residents in tract 27163071102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,759.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 8th, minority 10th, housing 16th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.25% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071102 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071102 compare to Afton overall?
Tract 27163071102 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Afton at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Afton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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