Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163070105 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,414
Tract 27163070105 sits in Forest Lake eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 4,414. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,663
Renter share3.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$153,533
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Lake and the region
Centroid at 45.2818, -92.9360 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Lake scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,878 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.2
How Forest Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 3 yrs
- 6.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2011)
- 7Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake
At $1,878 a month, rents run 32% over what the rest of Forest Lake commands. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against Washington County at 44.0%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 20 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 6.1% against 14.2% nationally.
Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2011, when 9.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $153,533, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070105?
Census tract 27163070105 in Forest Lake scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070105?
Median gross rent is $1,878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070105?
2.7% of residents in tract 27163070105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,414.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 5th, minority 9th, housing 3th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070105?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.83% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163070105 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163070105 compare to Forest Lake overall?
Tract 27163070105 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Lake at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Lake
Top eight tracts in Forest Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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