Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Elmo Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163070406 · Washington County, MN · pop 6,700
Tract 27163070406 sits in Lake Elmo, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,635
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$144,162
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Elmo and the region
Centroid at 44.9702, -92.8936 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Elmo scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Elmo
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,224 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Elmo
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Elmo
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Elmo
6.1
How Lake Elmo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 67Total filings over 3 yrs
- 17.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.5%Peak (2012)
- 29Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.8%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Elmo
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 44.0% across Washington County. The voucher gap is 32.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.2/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 67 evictions over 3 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2012 at 19.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 17.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070406?
Census tract 27163070406 in Lake Elmo scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070406?
Median gross rent is $2,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070406?
6.3% of residents in tract 27163070406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,700.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 30th, minority 31th, housing 38th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070406?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 67 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070406 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.55% of renter households, peaking at 19.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163070406 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163070406 compare to Lake Elmo overall?
Tract 27163070406 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Elmo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Elmo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Elmo
Top eight tracts in Lake Elmo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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