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Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

Stillwater Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27163070404 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,835 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Stillwater

Here is how census tract 27163070404, in Stillwater, looks to a landlord: a 5.5/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,835. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,663 monthly, set against $163,333 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,356
Renter share6.6%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$163,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Stillwater
Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#35 of 59 tracts In Washington County
Moderate
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#1,293 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#79,124 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stillwater and the region

Centroid at 45.0997, -92.8228 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stillwater scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stillwater
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,663 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stillwater
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stillwater
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stillwater
5.3

How Stillwater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stillwater risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.51.5This tracttract 070404Stillwater: 4.84.8Stillwaterparent cityCounty: 1.81.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 4.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2011)
  • 3Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271630704042010: 2 filings (2.78/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (6.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stillwater

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stillwater, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163070404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070404?

Census tract 27163070404 in Stillwater scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163070404?

Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070404?

5.7% of residents in tract 27163070404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,835.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 12th, minority 10th, housing 6th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27163070404 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27163070404 compare to Stillwater overall?

Tract 27163070404 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Stillwater at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stillwater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stillwater

Top eight tracts in Stillwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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