Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Lake St. Croix Beach Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071101 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,540 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Lake St. Croix Beach
In Lake St. Croix Beach, census tract 27163071101 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 39th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,617 a month against an average household income of $101,754 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,490
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$101,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake St. Croix Beach and the region
Centroid at 44.9406, -92.7689 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake St. Croix Beach scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,617 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach
3.5
How Lake St. Croix Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2010)
- 5Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake St. Croix Beach
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 5.1 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071101?
Census tract 27163071101 in Lake St. Croix Beach scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071101?
Median gross rent is $1,617/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071101?
7.2% of residents in tract 27163071101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,540.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 24th, minority 13th, housing 12th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.95% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071101 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071101 compare to Lake St. Croix Beach overall?
Tract 27163071101 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lake St. Croix Beach at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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