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Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27163070108 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,393

27163070108 is a census tract in Forest Lake, MN. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,393. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 1% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share3.6%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$119,647

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Forest Lake
Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#28 of 59 tracts In Washington County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#865 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Lake and the region

Centroid at 45.2310, -92.9436 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Lake scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,990 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Lake
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Lake
5.2

How Forest Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0701084.2Forest Lakeparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake

Cost burden runs 70% here against 44.0% across Washington County. Average gross rent is $1,990, 40% above the Forest Lake average.

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 18.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Washington County average of 4.1 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163070108

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070108?

Census tract 27163070108 in Forest Lake scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27163070108?

Median gross rent is $1,990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070108?

3.3% of residents in tract 27163070108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,393.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070108?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 44th, minority 13th, housing 10th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27163070108 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27163070108 compare to Forest Lake overall?

Tract 27163070108 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Lake at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Forest Lake

Top eight tracts in Forest Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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