Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Greeley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Stillwater
Tract 27163070603 · Washington County, MN · pop 2,352 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
27163070603 is a census tract in the Greeley area of Stillwater, MN. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,352 residents. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,045
Renter share37.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$69,471
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stillwater and the region
Centroid at 45.0434, -92.8300 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greeley scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Stillwater
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stillwater
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stillwater
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stillwater
5.3
How Greeley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.2%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greeley
Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 44.0% across Washington County. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,218, 25% below the Stillwater average.
Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.9/10. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $69,471.
37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070603?
Census tract 27163070603 in the Greeley neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070603?
Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070603?
11.5% of residents in tract 27163070603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,352.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 95th, minority 48th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 27163070603 considered part of Greeley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163070603 fall within Greeley (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163070603 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163070603 compare to Stillwater overall?
Tract 27163070603 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Stillwater at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stillwater; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Stillwater
Top eight tracts in Stillwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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