Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Horn Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 28033070221 · DeSoto County, MS · pop 3,629 · 60% of tract blocks fall in Horn Lake
Horn Lake is where census tract 28033070221 sits, home to 3,629 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.4/10. That is riskier than about 53% of US census tracts.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,199 a month while the average household earns $53,438 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,421
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate23.5%
Median income$53,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Horn Lake and the region
Centroid at 34.9119, -90.0712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Horn Lake scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Horn Lake
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Mississippi legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
23.5% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Horn Lake
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Horn Lake
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Horn Lake
6.8
How Horn Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.7%Food insecurity
- 18.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 43.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Horn Lake
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Horn Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the DeSoto County average of 4.0 and above the Mississippi statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 28033070221
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 28033070221?
Census tract 28033070221 in Horn Lake scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 28033070221?
Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 28033070221?
23.5% of residents in tract 28033070221 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 28033070221?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 86th, minority 56th, housing 36th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 28033070221 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 28033070221 compare to Horn Lake overall?
Tract 28033070221 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Horn Lake at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Horn Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Horn Lake
Top eight tracts in Horn Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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