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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Horn Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 28033070323 · DeSoto County, MS · pop 4,879 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Horn Lake

How risky is Horn Lake for landlords? Census tract 28033070323 scores 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 57% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,321 a month against an average household income of $43,067 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 11% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,847
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$43,067

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Horn Lake
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 41 tracts In DeSoto County
Very High
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#375 of 875 tracts In Mississippi
Elevated
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Horn Lake and the region

Centroid at 34.9729, -90.0505 · click any tract to drill in

Why Horn Lake scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Horn Lake
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Mississippi legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Horn Lake
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Horn Lake
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Horn Lake
6.8

How Horn Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Horn Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 070323Horn Lake: 2.52.5Horn Lakeparent cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Horn Lake

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Horn Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the DeSoto County average of 4.0 and above the Mississippi statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 28033070323

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 28033070323?

Census tract 28033070323 in Horn Lake scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 28033070323?

Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 28033070323?

22.8% of residents in tract 28033070323 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,879.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 28033070323?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 66th, minority 83th, housing 24th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 28033070323 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 28033070323 compare to Horn Lake overall?

Tract 28033070323 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Horn Lake at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Horn Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Horn Lake

Top eight tracts in Horn Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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