Adair County, Missouri Eviction Risk: Low
7 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Kirksville (2.5) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #21 of 115 MO counties
18k residents · 7 cities · 8 tracts
Adair County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
-
Tenant beats landlord23.1%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Adair County, MO, tenants prevail in roughly 23.1% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
-
Timeline41dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Adair County, MO until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 41 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
-
Cost range$1.1–3.3klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Adair County, MO costs landlords $1,141 to $3,300 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
-
Average rent$77025% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Adair County, MO is $770 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 25% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
-
Renters50.5%of households50.5% of occupied housing units in Adair County, MO are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
-
Poverty27.0%5.0% unemp.27.0% of Adair County, MO residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 5.0%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Adair County averages 2.5/10 across its 7 cities, ranging from a low of 1.9 in Millard to a high of 2.9 in Brashear, the county's highest-risk city. Ranked 41st of 115 Missouri counties by eviction risk (rank 1 = highest risk).
How Adair County ranks in Missouri
Landlord guides for Missouri
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Kirksville | 17,563 | 2.5 | 24.9% | $775 | Rep |
| 002 | Novinger | 423 | 2.3 | 17.5% | $767 | Rep |
| 003 | Brashear | 182 | 2.2 | 30.0% | $290 | Rep |
| 004 | Millard | 106 | 2.0 | 24.6% | $739 | Rep |
| 005 | Connelsville | 70 | 2.1 | 24.6% | $739 | Rep |
| 006 | Gibbs | 62 | 2.1 | 24.6% | $739 | Rep |
| 007 | South Gifford | 15 | 2.2 | 24.6% | $739 | Rep |
County heatmap
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Adair County, Missouri scores 2.5/10 on the eviction-risk index, placing it in the Low risk tier and ranking 41st of 115 Missouri eviction laws counties, meaning 40 counties carry more risk and 74 are more landlord-friendly. That middle-of-the-state positioning reflects a county where the legal framework is relatively straightforward, but underlying economic stress, a 27% poverty rate and an average rent burden of 24.8%, creates the tenant-financial pressure that drives most eviction filings. Landlords operating here face manageable conditions overall, but should not treat the low score as a signal that tenant financial distress is absent.
Across the county's 7 cities, scores range from 2 to 2.5, a one-point spread that matters in practice. With roughly 50.5% of residents renting and an average rent of $770, the rental market is active relative to the county's population of 18,421. Investors evaluating Adair County should note that the headline average softens real variation between individual markets, and that city-level scores tell a materially different story depending on where exactly a property sits.
The cities inside Adair County
The highest-risk city in the county is Kirksville at 2.5/10, followed closely by Kirksville at 2.5/10. Kirksville dominates the county demographically, with a population of 17,563 out of the county's total of 18,421, so its score effectively anchors the county average. Novinger comes in at 2.3/10, rounding out the upper third of the risk range.
At the lower end, Millard registers the county's most favorable score at 2/10, and Connelsville sits at 2.1/10. Gibbs and South Gifford each score 2.2/10. The takeaway for investors is that risk in Adair County is genuinely hyper-local: a Kirksville rental portfolio and a property in Millard operate under different risk profiles despite sharing the same county line.
State-level laws that apply here
Missouri state law, under RSMo § 441 (Landlord and Tenant), sets the procedural floor for every Adair County eviction. For nonpayment of rent, Missouri requires no advance notice period before filing a rent-and-possession action under RSMo § 535.010. A material lease violation (unlawful detainer) requires a 10-day notice under RSMo § 441.060, and terminating a month-to-month tenancy requires 30 days under the same statute. Understanding the Missouri eviction process from notice through hearing is essential because an uncontested case typically resolves in 21 to 45 days, while a contested matter can run 45 to 120 days.
On the cost side, Missouri eviction costs break down to a court filing fee of $70 to $180, a sheriff lockout fee of $40 to $150, and attorney fees that typically range from $500 to $3,000, depending on complexity. Missouri imposes no just-cause requirement for termination and state law preempts any local rent control, so Missouri security deposit limits and baseline tenant protections under state law are the primary statutory constraints landlords must navigate. Missouri tenant protections on habitability are codified at RSMo § 441.500, and the retaliation prohibition at RSMo § 441.020.
With a poverty rate of 27% and 50.5% of residents renting, the financial stress underlying Adair County's numbers is real even at a Low risk score; the city-by-city breakdown in the grid above is the most reliable tool for comparing specific markets within the county.
Eviction filings in Missouri
The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Missouri statewide (no county-level tracker available for Adair County). In the past month, 3,285 statewide filings were recorded, 0.88× the historical baseline (below baseline).
- 3,285Past month (state)
- 44,239Past 12 months
- 0.93×vs baseline (12 mo)
Historical eviction filings in Adair County
From 2003 to 2017, eviction filings in Adair County increased 94%. The peak was 62 filings in 2015.2
- 312003
- 62Peak (2015)
- 602017
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Adair County compares
Adair County's average eviction-risk score of 2.5/10 places it 41st of 115 Missouri counties (rank 1 = highest risk), meaning 40 counties carry greater risk and 74 are less risky. Among its peer group, Adair County scores above Barry County (2.69/10), Warren County (2.66/10), Laclede County (2.7/10), and Dunklin County (2.7/10), and ties closely with Audrain County (2.9/10).
The county sits in Missouri eviction laws's middle third for landlord exposure, making it a moderate-to-favorable operating environment relative to higher-risk urban Missouri eviction laws markets, without reaching the very-low-risk tier of the state's most landlord-friendly counties.