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Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Chaffee Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29201780200 · Scott County, MO · pop 4,362 · 50% of tract blocks fall in Chaffee

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 29201780200 (Chaffee, Missouri) comes in at 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #57,559 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $717 a month while the average household earns $51,731 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 14% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,856
Renter share26.2%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$51,731

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Chaffee
Moderate
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 11 tracts In Scott County
Moderate
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#786 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Moderate
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chaffee and the region

Centroid at 37.1793, -89.6363 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chaffee scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chaffee
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$717 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chaffee
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chaffee
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chaffee
6.0

How Chaffee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chaffee risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 780200Chaffee: 2.52.5Chaffeeparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 122Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2004)
  • 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 292017802002004: 20 filings (4.25/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (2.18/100 renter HHs)2007: 11 filings (2.67/100 renter HHs)2008: 12 filings (2.91/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (1.70/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (1.57/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2016: 9 filings (2.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chaffee

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chaffee, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Scott County average of 4.5 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29201780200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29201780200?

Census tract 29201780200 in Chaffee scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29201780200?

Median gross rent is $717/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29201780200?

10.2% of residents in tract 29201780200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,362.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29201780200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 37th, minority 8th, housing 94th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29201780200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 29201780200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29201780200 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29201780200 compare to Chaffee overall?

Tract 29201780200 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chaffee at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chaffee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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