Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Cottleville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29183311322 · St. Charles County, MO · pop 6,627 · 46% of tract blocks fall in Cottleville
Census tract 29183311322 covers part of Cottleville, MO, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,627 residents. Cost burden runs 64% here against 36.4% across St. Charles County.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,517
Renter share21.3%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$109,961
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottleville and the region
Centroid at 38.7555, -90.6365 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottleville scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottleville
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,666 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottleville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottleville
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottleville
4.9
How Cottleville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 137Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.0%Peak (2005)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottleville
The voucher gap is 37.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.7/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 137 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 11.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29183311322
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29183311322?
Census tract 29183311322 in Cottleville scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29183311322?
Median gross rent is $1,666/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29183311322?
4.2% of residents in tract 29183311322 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,627.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29183311322?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 9th, minority 29th, housing 14th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29183311322?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 137 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 29183311322 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29183311322 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29183311322 compare to Cottleville overall?
Tract 29183311322 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Cottleville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottleville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottleville
Top eight tracts in Cottleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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