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Neighborhood · Belgrade, MT

Main Street Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,260 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Main Street maps to a single census tract in Belgrade, MT and houses 5,260 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Belgrade baseline of 28.6%, 51% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,452, 23% below the Belgrade average of $1,877.

SNAP participation is 6.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. For a like-for-like read, Springvale and Prescott Ranch score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Main Street vs Belgrade How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.7% +77%
Belgrade: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$1,452 -23%
Belgrade: $1,877
Average HH income
$90,308 +2%
Belgrade: $88,896
Poverty rate
6.9% -45%
Belgrade: 12.6%
Renter share
48.4% +10%
Belgrade: 43.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Main Street and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Main Street scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
6.9% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Main Street vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Main Street score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8Main StreetNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Main Street

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
30031000105 3.8 5,260 51% $1,452
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 16%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Main Street

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Main Street

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Main Street?

Main Street scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Main Street compare to Belgrade overall?

Main Street scores 0.4 points lower than Belgrade overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,452 vs $1,877.
Q3

What is the average rent in Main Street?

Average gross rent in Main Street is $1,452/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Main Street residents are renters?

48% of Main Street households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Belgrade). The neighborhood has 5,260 residents.
Q5

Is Main Street a high social-vulnerability area?

Main Street sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Main Street for landlords?

Main Street carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Belgrade as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Main Street?

Main Street has 5,086 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.4%), Other / Multiracial (10.8%), Hispanic / Latino (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Main Street

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Belgrade

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Main Street.

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