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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Main Street Eviction Risk: Lower , Belgrade

Tract 30031000105 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 5,260 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 30031000105 (the Main Street area of Belgrade, Montana) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,452 a month against an average household income of $90,308 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 24% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,240
Renter share48.4%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$90,308

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Main Street
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Belgrade
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 26 tracts In Gallatin County
Moderate
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#201 of 319 tracts In Montana
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Belgrade and the region

Centroid at 45.7745, -111.1752 · click any tract to drill in

Why Main Street scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Belgrade
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,452 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belgrade
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belgrade
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belgrade
5.9

How Main Street compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Main Street risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 000105Belgrade: 2.12.1Belgradeparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Main Street

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Belgrade eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Gallatin County average of 4.7 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 30031000105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000105?

Census tract 30031000105 in the Main Street neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30031000105?

Median gross rent is $1,452/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000105?

6.9% of residents in tract 30031000105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,260.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 25th, minority 16th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 30031000105 considered part of Main Street?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000105 fall within Main Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30031000105 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30031000105 compare to Belgrade overall?

Tract 30031000105 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Belgrade at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belgrade eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belgrade

Top eight tracts in Belgrade ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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