Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Prescott Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Belgrade
Tract 30031000104 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 4,320 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 30031000104 sits in the Prescott Ranch area of Belgrade eviction risk, MT, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 4,320. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,713
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$86,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Belgrade and the region
Centroid at 45.7926, -111.1902 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prescott Ranch scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Belgrade
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,587 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belgrade
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belgrade
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belgrade
5.9
How Prescott Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.0%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prescott Ranch
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.7/10. Against the Gallatin County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,587, 15% below the Belgrade average. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.8/10. Statewide the MT average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $86,464.
49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031000104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000104?
Census tract 30031000104 in the Prescott Ranch neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031000104?
Median gross rent is $1,587/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000104?
20.9% of residents in tract 30031000104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,320.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 4th, minority 9th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 30031000104 considered part of Prescott Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000104 fall within Prescott Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 30031000104 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30031000104 compare to Belgrade overall?
Tract 30031000104 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Belgrade at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belgrade eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Belgrade
Top eight tracts in Belgrade ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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