Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Springvale Eviction Risk: Lower , Belgrade
Tract 30031000101 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 6,519 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 30031000101 in the Springvale area of Belgrade, MT reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,519. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,797
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$105,114
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Belgrade and the region
Centroid at 45.7791, -111.1210 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springvale scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Belgrade
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,881 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belgrade
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belgrade
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belgrade
5.9
How Springvale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2002)
- 2Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.7%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springvale
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.7/10. Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 3 evictions over 2 years of observation.
Against the Gallatin County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2002, when 0.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031000101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000101?
Census tract 30031000101 in the Springvale neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031000101?
Median gross rent is $1,881/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000101?
7.9% of residents in tract 30031000101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,519.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 8th, minority 4th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 30031000101 considered part of Springvale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000101 fall within Springvale (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 30031000101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 30031000101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.64% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 30031000101 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 30031000101 compare to Belgrade overall?
Tract 30031000101 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Belgrade at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belgrade eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Belgrade
Top eight tracts in Belgrade ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related