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Neighborhood · Missoula, MT

Heart of Missoula Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,308 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Heart of Missoula maps to a single census tract in Missoula, MT, population 2,308. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Missoula rate of 30.0%.

This is a renter market: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $840 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Missoula commands. On the high side is economic stress at 8.1/10.

Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Missoula, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Lewis & Clark and University District score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heart of Missoula vs Missoula How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.5% +95%
Missoula: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$840 -29%
Missoula: $1,189
Average HH income
$28,594 -56%
Missoula: $65,329
Poverty rate
32.5% +154%
Missoula: 12.8%
Renter share
91.6% +73%
Missoula: 53.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heart of Missoula and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Heart of Missoula scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
92% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
32.5% below poverty line · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Heart of Missoula vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heart of Missoula score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7Heart of MissoulaNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Heart of Missoula

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
30063000300 5.7 2,308 58% $840
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 71

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heart of Missoula

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Heart of Missoula

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heart of Missoula?

Heart of Missoula scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heart of Missoula compare to Missoula overall?

Heart of Missoula scores 1.4 points higher than Missoula overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $840 vs $1,189.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heart of Missoula?

Average gross rent in Heart of Missoula eviction risk is $840/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heart of Missoula residents are renters?

92% of Heart of Missoula households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Missoula). The neighborhood has 2,308 residents.
Q5

Is Heart of Missoula a high social-vulnerability area?

Heart of Missoula sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Heart of Missoula for landlords?

Heart of Missoula eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Missoula as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Heart of Missoula?

Heart of Missoula has 2,315 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.6%), Other / Multiracial (8.5%), Hispanic / Latino (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heart of Missoula

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Missoula

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heart of Missoula.

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