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Neighborhood · Missoula, MT

Northside Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,446 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.9–4.9

Northside spans 2 census tracts of Missoula, MT, population 11,446. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Missoula baseline of 30.0%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.9 to 4.9. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.2% of adults, 9.6 points below the national rate.

That places it #12 of 12 neighborhoods in Missoula. The closest comparables inside the same city are South 39th and Rose Park.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,175, close to the Missoula average. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Northside vs Missoula How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.4% +58%
Missoula: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,175 -1%
Missoula: $1,189
Average HH income
$79,756 +22%
Missoula: $65,329
Poverty rate
12.3% -4%
Missoula: 12.8%
Renter share
40.5% -24%
Missoula: 53.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.9–4.9

Why Northside scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 2.9–3.3 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–2.8 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Northside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.3NorthsideNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Northside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
30063000203 4.9 4,640 27% $1,072
30063000100 3.9 6,806 61% $1,246
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 26%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northside

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northside?

Northside scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northside compare to Missoula overall?

Northside scores 0.0 points higher than Missoula overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,175 vs $1,189.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northside?

Average gross rent in Northside is $1,175/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northside residents are renters?

41% of Northside households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Missoula). The neighborhood has 11,446 residents.
Q5

Is Northside a high social-vulnerability area?

Northside sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northside have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northside is census tract 30063000203 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 4.9, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Northside for landlords?

Northside carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Missoula as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northside?

Northside has 11,149 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.9%), Hispanic / Latino (7%), Other / Multiracial (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Missoula

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northside.

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