Neighborhood · Missoula, MT

Northside Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,446 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.8–4.5

Northside is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Missoula with 2 census tracts and a population of 11,446 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,175/month sits 1% lower than the Missoula citywide average ($1,189).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Northside vs Missoula How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.4% +58%

Missoula: 30.0%

Average gross rent

$1,175 -1%

Missoula: $1,189

Average HH income

$79,756 +22%

Missoula: $65,329

Poverty rate

12.3% -4%

Missoula: 12.8%

Renter share

40.5% -24%

Missoula: 53.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.8–4.5

Why Northside scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

41% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

12.3% below poverty line · Range 2.9–3.3 across tracts

3.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–2.8 across tracts

2.4

Risk score comparison

Northside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Northside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
30063000203	4.5	4,640	27%	$1,072
30063000100	3.8	6,806	61%	$1,246

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 20%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 26%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 65%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northside

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.6%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility shutoff threat
8.1%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
7.3%No health insurance
23.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Northside

What is the eviction-risk score for Northside?

Northside scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Northside compare to Missoula overall?

Northside scores 1.0 points higher than Missoula overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,175 vs $1,189.

What is the average rent in Northside?

Average gross rent in Northside is $1,175/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Northside residents are renters?

41% of Northside households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Missoula). The neighborhood has 11,446 residents.

Is Northside a high social-vulnerability area?

Northside sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Northside have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northside is census tract 30063000203 (score 4.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 4.5, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Northside for landlords?

Northside carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Missoula as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Northside?

Northside has 11,149 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.9%), Hispanic / Latino (7%), Other / Multiracial (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northside

5.2 University District 2 tracts · pop 6,398 4.6 Franklin to the Fort 3 tracts · pop 9,289

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Missoula

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northside.

4.1 South 39th 1 tracts · pop 4,369 4.2 Rose Park 1 tracts · pop 3,363 4.3 Mullan Road 1 tracts · pop 7,152 4.5 Riverfront 1 tracts · pop 2,786 4.7 Franklin to the Fort 3 tracts · pop 9,289 4.8 River Road 1 tracts · pop 3,304

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